On Monday, Iowans will flock to their local churches and school gyms to participate in the Iowa Caucus. By day's end, both Democrats and Republicans will have a winner, and a bona fide frontrunner for their party's presidential nomination. Some candidates' chances will essentially be cooked. But it's safe to say that the day will not end as remarkably—or catastrophically—for any of them as it did for Howard Dean twelve years ago.
By January of 2004, the American left's revolt against President George W. Bush was in full effect. Simmering resentment from the contentious election of 2000 was brought to a boil by seething outrage over the War in Iraq. Left-leaning voters and grassroots activists were in search of a standard-bearer. They found one in Howard Dean, the former Vermont governor, who steered the Democratic field—and the nation—toward opposition to the war, all the while rocketing up the polls.
But then came the Iowa Caucus. The frontrunner for so many months, Dean came in third place behind John Kerry and John Edwards, shocking his supporters. But the damage was far from finished: In his concession speech in a Des Moines hotel ballroom that night, Dean tried to make himself heard above a raucous crowd of thousands. In a speech that was largely ad-libbed, he began shouting a list of states the campaign would go on to conquer in the months to come. And then he came to that immortal, cartoonish crescendo: "YAHHHHHH!!!"