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ACTIVITIES

One of the main IPCC activities is the preparation of comprehensive Assessment Reports about the state of scientific, technical and socio-economic knowledge on climate change, its causes, potential impacts and response strategies. The IPCC also produces Special Reports, which are an assessment on a specific issue and Methodology Reports, which provide practical guidelines for the preparation of greenhouse gas inventories.
 
Since its inception in 1988 the IPCC has prepared five multivolume assessment reports. The Fifth Assessment Report was released between September 2013 and November 2014. They can be viewed under Publications and Data.


 

The Physical Science Basis 2013
Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
The Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) is the most comprehensive assessment of scientific knowledge on climate change since 2007 when the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) was released. It was released in four parts between September 2013 and November 2014.
 
AR5 is made up of the full reports prepared by theWorking Groups (I, II and III) and their Summaries for Policymakers as well as the Synthesis Report.
 

Click here for the WGI contribution on the physical science basis of climate change; here for the WGII contribution on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability; and here for the WGIII contribution on mitigation of climate change. The Synthesis Report can be found here.


This page covers the contents of the AR5, the process of developing the AR5 and the wide participation of experts in the AR5 writing and review process.
 

   AR5 Contents

AR5 puts greater emphasis on assessing the socio-economic aspects of climate change and its implications for sustainable development.
 
Some new features of AR5 as a whole include:

  • A new set of scenarios for analysis across Working Group contributions;
  • Dedicated chapters on sea level change, carbon cycle and climate phenomena such as monsoons and El Niño;
  • Much greater regional detail on climate change impacts, adaptation and mitigation interactions; inter- and intra-regional impacts; and a multi-sector synthesis;
  • Risk management and the framing of a response (both adaptation and mitigation), including scientific information relevant to Article 2 of the UNFCCC referring to the "...stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system".
  •  

    The outlines and contents of the AR5 Working Group reports, approved by the Panel at its 31st Session in Bali, Indonesia, can be found in the AR5 reference document. See the AR5 leaflet for abbreviated outlines of each volume of the report.
    Note: Changes in the Working Group III outline, as reflected in the following progress reports, were considered and approved by the Panel at its 34th and 35th Sessions (IPCC-XXXV/Doc. 21, IPCC-XXXIV/Doc. 18, Rev.1).
     

    Several cross-cutting themes and methodologies meriting consistent treatment across Working Groups were identified for AR5. The IPCC organized expert meetings and workshops to facilitate consideration of complex topics relevant to the AR5 assessment process.
     

    Key AR5 cross-cutting themes are:
     

    • Water and the Earth System: Changes, Impacts and Responses;
    • Carbon Cycle including Ocean Acidification (see Meeting Report);
    • Ice Sheets and Sea-Level Rise (see Meeting Report);
    • Mitigation, Adaptation and Sustainable Development; and
    • Article 2 of the UNFCCC (see UNFCCC for definition).
     

    Key AR5 cross-cutting methodologies are:
     

     
    The AR5 Synthesis Report - The Synthesis Report synthesizes and integrates material contained within the Working Group reports and Special Reports. It is written in a non-technical style suitable for policymakers and addresses a broad range of policy-relevant but policy-neutral questions.
     
    The AR5 Synthesis Report (SYR) was prepared by a Core Writing Team (CWT) led by the IPCC Chair. The team consisted of authors of the three Working Group report-writing teams and members of the Executive Committee.
     
    See AR5 Synthesis Report website for further details.

     


      The Decision to Prepare a Fifth Assessment Report

    The decision to Prepare a Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) was taken by members of the IPCC (the Panel) at its 28th Session in Budapest, Hungary (9-10 April 2008).


      The AR5 Scoping Process

    A scoping meeting was then held in Venice, Italy (13-17 July 2009), to develop the scope and outline of the Fifth Assessment Report.
     
    Working Group contributions to AR5
     
    The outlines of the Working Group contributions were approved at the 31st Session of the IPCC in Bali, Indonesia (26-29 October 2009). The outlines, concept notes on cross-cutting matters, as well as workshops and expert meetings to be held in support of the AR5 assessment process, are compiled in the AR5 reference document.
     
    Synthesis Report

    On 25-27 August 2010, a scoping meeting for the AR5 Synthesis Report was held in Liege, Belgium, to develop its outline and scope.
    At its 32nd Session in Busan, Republic of Korea (11-14 October 2010), the Panel agreed on the scope and outline for the AR5 Synthesis Report (SYR).


      AR5 Expert Meetings and Workshops

    A number of expert meetings and workshops, including on cross-cutting issues, were held to support the process of preparing the AR5 as outlined in the AR5 Reference document. Reports of these meetings are published as IPCC Supporting Material. For details on the meetings that have been held see AR5 Workshops and Expert Meetings.


      Approval/Acceptance of Working Group SPMs and Full Reports

    The IPCC considered the WGI contribution to AR5 on the physical science basis in Stockholm, Sweden on 23-26 September 2013, the WGII contribution on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability on 25-29 March 2014 in Yokohama, Japan, WGIII contribution on mitigation of climate change on 7-11 April 2014 in Berlin, Germany and the Synthesis Report on 27 October - 1 November 2014 in Copenhagen, Denmark. The Working Group sessions approved their respective SPMs and accepted their respective full reports. A brief IPCC plenary session followed to accept the action taken by each Working Group. The Panel approved the SPM of the Synthesis report and adopted the longer report.

     


      The AR5 Writing and Review Process

    IPCC reports are prepared by experts selected by the Bureau, based on nominations by governments and observer organizations, to serve as IPCC Lead Authors. Over 830 authors worked on AR5, which encompasses over 50 chapters. The AR5 was prepared according to Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work on Procedures for the Preparation, Review, Acceptance, Adoption, Approval and Publication of IPCC Reports.  On the right is a schematic description of the process.
     

    The diagram illustrates the process for preparing reports of the IPCC. The process for the Synthesis Report is slightly different (see below).
     
    Review is an essential part of the IPCC process to ensure an objective, unbiased, transparent and comprehensive assessment of current scientific technical information. Both expert reviewers and governments are called upon to comment on scientific and technical matters in a review process of several stages for a given IPCC report.
     
    For more information on the preparation of IPCC reports see Principles and Procedures page.
     

      The full review process for AR5 involved:

     

    Step 1: First Review (by Experts)


    The reviews of the First Order Drafts (FODs) for the three Working Group (WG) reports took place as follows:
     
    WGI FOD     16 December 2011 - 10 February 2012
    WGII FOD    11 June - 6 August 2012
    WGIII FOD   20 July - 14 September 2012 

    Step 3: Government Review of Final Draft SPM


    The government review of final draft SPMs took place as follows:
     

    WGI      7 June - 2 August 2013
    WGII     28 October - 20 December 2013
    WGIII    13 December 2013 - 10 February 2014

    Step 2: Second Review (by Governments and Experts)


    The reviews of the Second Order Drafts (SODs) and drafts of the Summary for Policymakers (SPMs) for the three Working Group reports took place as follows:
     

    WGI SOD     5 October - 30 November 2012
    WGII SOD    29 March - 24 May 2013
    WGIII SOD   25 February - 22 April 2013

    Step 4: Approval/Acceptance of SPMs and Working Group Reports
      

    For each Working Group report, the full reports were accepted at the Working Group Session and their SPMs approved by IPCC member governments at the Working Group Session and then accepted at a Session of the Panel. These took place as follows:
     

    WGI      23-26 September 2013, Stockholm, Sweden.
    WGII     25-29 March 2014, Yokohama, Japan
    WGIII    7-11 April 2014, Berlin, Germany

    Synthesis Report

        

    The Synthesis Report comprises an SPM and a longer report. The draft of the longer report and its SPM undergo a simultaneous government and expert review. The longer report and the SPM are then revised by the authors with the help of Review Editors. The revised drafts of the longer report and SPM are submitted to governments and observer organizations and are both tabled for discussion in a Session of the Panel. This took place as follows:

     

    SYR government and expert review  21 April - 13 June 2014
    SYR government review of final draft  25 August - 10 October 2014
    Approval and adoption of the SPM and AR5 SYR 27 October - 1 November 2014, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Note: Observer organizations have the opportunity of involving their experts in expert review stages. Such experts provide reviews under their own name; they do not represent these observer organizations.

    Number of review comments on Fifth Assessment Report


     

     

    Number of
    comments

    Experts

    Governments

    Working Group I

     

    First Order Draft

    21,400

    659

    -

    Second Order Draft

    31,422

    800

    26

    Working Group II

     

    First Order Draft

    19,598

    563

    -

    Second Order Draft

    28,544

    452

    33

    Working Group III

     

    First Order Draft

    16,169

    602

    -

    Second Order Draft

    19,554

    444

    24

    Synthesis Report

    First Order Draft

    5,944

    85

    42

    Total

     

    142,631

    -

    -

    Note: some experts register for more than one Working Group.


    AR5 Calendar and Schedule

      Full AR5 Schedule


    A comprehensive overview schedule that contains dates for AR5 Scoping Meetings, Sessions of the Panel to approve outlines of the reports, Lead Author meetings, review periods and cut-off dates for new literature assessed in the AR5 is available here (AR5 Key Dates).
     
    For all IPCC meetings and review periods, please see the IPCC Calendar.
     

      Literature Cut-Off Dates


    The IPCC process assesses published literature; it does not involve carrying out research. For inclusion in the Second Order Draft (SOD) of a Working Group contribution, literature must be submitted for peer review prior to the finalization of the SOD. In order to be reflected in the AR5, literature must be accepted for publication before the final draft is finalized. Any reference that does not fulfill these criteria was removed from the draft contribution together with the statement(s) that it supports.
     
    Working Groups provided the following cut-off dates for new literature.
     

      AR5 Lead Authors and Review Editors

    More than 830 Authors and Review Editors from over 80 countries were selected for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) from about 3,600 nominated individuals. In the course of the assessment process Lead Authors enlisted Contributing Authors to prepare technical information in the form of text, graphs or data for assimilation by the Lead Authors into the draft sections. See the complete list of Authors and Review Editors, and the following statistics and regional coverage.
     

     

     AR5 Author Teams

    Working Group I

    Working Group II
    Working Group III


    wgII authors



    Also see the WGIII AR5 Photo Gallery

     


    Authors of the AR5 Synthesis Report

    The IPCC Chair led the Synthesis Report's Core Writing Team, whose composition was agreed by the 45th Session of the IPCC Bureau, Geneva, 13-14 March 2012.

     

    wgII authors


       Lead Author Meetings

    In the course of the assessment process, four Lead Author meetings are held by each Working Group. All Coordinating Lead Authors and Lead Authors get together to initiate the writing process, consult on cross-cutting issues, consider review comments received and revise the text accordingly. Review Editors participate in such meetings to ensure that all review comments are afforded appropriate consideration.  
     

    Working Group I


    Working Group II


    Working Group III


    Synthesis Report


      The Development of Scenarios for the AR5


    In the AR5 process, particular attention was given to the treatment of scenarios. See the 2007 Meeting Report and the 2010 Meeting Report (Berlin) on Socio-Economic Scenarios.

    When the Panel decided in 2008 to prepare a Fifth Assessment Report, the Panel also invited the scientific community developing new scenarios for the analysis of emissions, climate change, impacts, and response strategies to move forward actively for the timely delivery of scenario results to feed the assessment process.

    In the past, the IPCC coordinated the process of developing scenarios for its assessments. During its 25th session (Mauritius, 26-28 April 2006), the IPCC decided that rather than directly coordinating and approving new scenarios itself, the process of scenario development should now be coordinated by the research community.
     
    The IPCC sought to "catalyze" the timely production by others of new scenarios for the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). To this end an expert meeting was held from 19-21 September 2007 in Noordwijkerhout, the Netherlands (Meeting Report) which considered the plans by the scientific community and agreed representative concentration pathways.
     
    For more information on this process conducted by the scientific community, see the IPCC's new scenarios webpage.

    In addition to Assessment Reports, the IPCC publishes Special Reports on specific topics. The preparation and approval process for all IPCC Special Reports follows the same procedures as for IPCC Assessment Reports.
     
    The IPCC has produced Special Reports on various topics such as aviation; regional impacts of climate change; technology transfer; emissions scenarios; land use, land-use change and forestry; carbon dioxide capture and storage; and the relationship between safeguarding the ozone layer and the global climate system. For more information on these see the Special Reports section of the Publications page.

     
    Two IPCC Special Reports in 2011

    In 2011, two IPCC Special Reports were finalized; the Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) and the Special Report on Managing Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX). Both Special Reports were requested by governments.
     

  • Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN)
     

    The Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation (SRREN) was approved and accepted at the 11th Session of Working Group III that took place on 5-8 May 2011 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

    This report assesses existing literature on the future potential of renewable energy for the mitigation of climate change. It covers the six most important renewable energy technologies, as well as their integration into present and future energy systems. It also takes into consideration the environmental and social consequences associated with these technologies, the cost, and strategies to overcome technical as well as non-technical obstacles to their application and diffusion.

    More than 130 authors and 100 contributing authors from all over the world contributed to the preparation of SRREN on a voluntary basis.

  •  

    Additional information on the report can be found at the Working Group III website for SRREN.
     


  • Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX)
     

    The Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX) was approved and accepted at the first Joint Session of IPCC Working Groups I and II that met on 14-17 November 2011 in Kampala, Uganda. 
     
    The report assesses the effect that climate change has on the threat of natural disasters and how nations can better manage an expected change in the frequency of occurrence and intensity of severe weather patterns. It aims to be a resource for decision-makers to prepare more effectively for managing the risks of these events. A potentially important area for consideration is also the detection of trends in extreme events and the attribution of these trends to human influence.
     
    More than 80 authors, 19 review editors, and more than 100 contributing authors from all over the world contributed to the preparation of SREX. The United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction prepared the original proposal for the report.  

     

    Additional information on the report can be found at the Working Group II website for SREX.

  • Since 1992, the IPCC has been preparing methodologies and guidelines to assist Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and its Kyoto Protocol to prepare national inventories of greenhouse gas emissions by sources and removals by sinks. The last major publication was the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories.
     
    In October 2013, the IPCC accepted two new Methodology Reports prepared by its Task Force on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (TFI); the 2013 Supplement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Wetlands (Wetlands Supplement) and the 2013 Revised Supplementary Methods and Good Practice Guidance arising from the Kyoto Protocol (KP Supplement).
     
    At its 33rd session, the IPCC decided to produce additional guidance – the Wetlands Supplement – to cover inland wetlands such as peatlands, draining and rewetting of organic soils, and coastal wetlands such as mangroves. This was requested by the UNFCCC, and the IPCC hopes that the 2013 supplementary guidance will make an important contribution to future international action on wetlands. More information about the Wetlands Supplement can be found here.
     
    At the invitation of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol to the UNFCCC, and following agreement by the IPCC at its 35th Session, the TFI completed the KP Supplement. This supplement is a review and an update of the good practice guidance on estimating greenhouse gas emissions and removals from land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) under the Kyoto Protocol. More information about the KP Supplement can be found here
     
    The TFI has also produced IPCC Inventory Software. It is available free on CD or can be downloaded here. The TFI also produces other material to assist users of the guidelines, such as the Emissions Factor Database (EFDB).
     
    For more information on the TFI please see the website.

    The Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis (TGICA) facilitates distribution and application of climate change related data and scenarios. The conduct of TGICA is governed by its mandate.
     
    TGICA oversees a Data Distribution Centre (DDC) which provides data sets, scenarios of climate change and other environmental and socio-economic conditions, and other materials (e.g. technical guidelines on the use of scenarios and factsheets offering clarifying explanations/concise guidance on topical issues). The DDC also links to relevant data sets and information held outside the DDC, such as outputs produced from the new community-led process of scenario development to support climate change research.
     
    TGICA also contributes to building capacity in the use of data and scenarios for climate-related research in developing and transition-economy regions and countries. It does this through the data and guidance provided via the DDC, by convening expert meetings on an as-needed basis, and by maintaining and updating a global list of networks for outreach.
     
    Since the TGICA was established in 1996, a great deal has changed regarding needs and services for data and scenarios. Most significantly, the community of users has evolved from a relatively small group of researchers focusing on global- and regional-scale modelling of the impacts of climate change, to a large and diverse set of actors worldwide, including national, state/provincial, and local entities, business and industry, non-governmental organizations, and community groups, including participants in the UNFCCC Nairobi Work Programme on impacts, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. This more diverse group of users has a far more varied set of data and scenario needs, including data products more appropriate to settings with limited computational, communications, and research capacity. The process for preparation of scenarios has also changed, and has become a more open, interdisciplinary process with a larger number of interactions across the climate modelling, impacts/adaptation/vulnerability, and integrated assessment modelling communities. These changes provide new challenges and opportunities for the TGICA.
     
    TGICA Membership was refreshed in the summer of 2010 (see table below) with Timothy Carter (Finland) and Bruce Hewitson (South Africa) appointed in May 2011 to serve as Co-Chairs. There have been six full meetings of the reappointed Task Group: TGICA-16 (National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA, 4-6 August 2010). TGICA-17 (Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Palo Alto, California, USA, 6-8 February 2012), TGICA-18 (St Petersburg, Russian Federation, 18-20 September 2012), TGICA-19 (Jeju, Republic of Korea, 14-16 May 2013), TGICA-20 (WMO Headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland, 25-27 February 2014) and TGICA- 21 (Yokohama, Japan, 24-26 November 2014). In addition there have been six Webex meetings of the Task Group between April 2011 and September 2014.
     
    Further information about TGICA activities and developments can be found in Progress Reports submitted to Sessions of the IPCC. As of February 2015, seven Progress Reports of the newly constituted Task Group are available for download: IPCC-XLI/Doc. 10 (February 2015), IPCC-XL/Doc. 17 (October 2014), IPCC-XXXIX/Doc.11 (April 2014), IPCC-XXXVII/Doc.12 (October 2013, IPCC-XXXV/Doc. 22 (June 2012), IPCC-XXXIV/Doc.13 (November 2011), and IPCC-XXXIII/Doc. 19 (May 2011). In addition, two presentations about TGICA and its ongoing activities were provided by the TGICA Co-Chairs at the 35th Session (6-9 June 2012, Geneva) and 37th Session (14-18 October 2013, Batumi, Georgia) of the IPCC.
     
    Currently, TGICA Members are:
     

    Co-Chairs Members Ex Officio
    Timothy Carter, Finland
     
    Bruce Hewitson, South Africa
    Daniel Bouille, Argentina
     
    Stewart J. Cohen, Canada
     
    Suraje Dessai, UK
     
    Mariane Diop-Kane, Senegal
     
    Seita Emori, Japan
     
    Gregory E. Insarov, Russia
     
    Kejun Jiang, China
     
    Volker Krey, Austria
     
    Won-Tae Kwon, South Korea
     
    Jason Lowe, UK
     
    Francisco Meza, Chile
     
    Andy Reisinger, New Zealand
     
    Fredrick Semazzi, USA
     
    Allison Thomson, USA
     
    Rachel Warren, UK
     
    Arthur Webb, Fiji
     
    Fernanda Zermoglio, Sweden
    Martin Juckes (DDC, BADC)
     
    Martina Stockhause
    (DDC, DKRZ)
     
    Robert Chen (DDC, CIESIN)
     
    Gian-Kasper Plattner
    (IPCC, WG I TSU)
     
    Michael Mastrandrea
    (IPCC, WG II TSU)
     
    Jan Minx (IPCC, WG III TSU)
     
    Karl Taylor (PCMDI)
     
    Xianfu Lu (UNFCCC)

    Scenarios of potential future anthropogenic climate change, the underlying driving forces, and the response options have been an important component of IPCC work. In the past the IPCC coordinated the process of developing scenarios for its assessments (see AR 1990, SR 1994 and SRES 2000). In 2006 the IPCC decided that rather than directly coordinating and approving scenarios, the process of scenario development should be coordinated by the scientific community. The IPCC would catalyze the timely production of new scenarios for possible use in its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). To this end an expert meeting was held on 19-21 September 2007 in Noorwijkerhout, the Netherlands (Report of the meeting) which considered the plans by the scientific community and agreed representative concentration pathways. The meeting was attended by experts on integrated assessment (IAM), impacts; adaptation and vulnerability research (IAV); and climate modelling (CM). The agreement on a parallel process for scenario development and the schedule for delivering products was important for the decision by the Panel on the schedule of the AR5.
     
    The early identification of a set of "Representative Concentration Pathways" (RCPs) facilitates coordination of new integrated socioeconomic, emissions, and climate scenarios. The main rationale for beginning with RCPs is to expedite the development of a broad literature of new and integrated scenarios by allowing the modeling of climate system responses to human activities to proceed in parallel to emissions scenario development.
     
    Further information on scenario development and coordination with the scientific community can be found in the Progress Report submitted to the 32nd Session of the Panel, Busan, Republic of Korea, 11 - 14 October 2010 (IPCC-XXXII/Doc. 16). This report discusses the Draft Memorandum of Understanding between the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) and IPCC Working Groups II and III (IPCC-XXXII/INF.10), and the link between the IPCC and the scientific community on the scenario development process which continues now through the Co-Chairs of the Working Groups.
     
    In this regard, a joint IPCC workshop of Working Groups II and III on "Socioeconomic Scenarios for Climate Change Impact and Response Assessments" was held in Berlin, Germary on 1-3 November 2010. For background and supporting material for this workshop, please see here.
     
    Finally, the IPCC's Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis (TGICA) also provides via the Data Distribution Centre (DDC) a new set of web pages that provide an overview of the new process under way for developing scenarios to support climate change research. These pages are intended for researchers who may wish to participate in scenario development, who use scenarios in their research, or who wish to learn more about current efforts to improve the coordination of different fields of climate research.
     
    A presentation on the new process underway for developing scenarios was provided at the 35th Session of the IPCC in June 2012.